Stories have been all over the place. In short, a series of 5 undersea cables have been cut. Cables very important to Internet connectivity in large areas of the world, including many countries in the Middle East and Southwest Asia.
This has affected a LOT of people in that area of the world. 1.7 million users in the United Arab Emirates have been affected, according to one story. That same story reports “The submarine cable cuts in FLAG Europe-Asia cable 8.3km away from Alexandria, Egypt and SeaMeWe-4 affected at least 60 million users in India, 12 million in Pakistan, six million in Egypt and 4.7 million in Saudi Arabia.”
The first of the 5 cut cables was cut back on January 23rd, the FALCON cable near Iran. Another cut happened on January 30th on the SeaMeWe-4 cable, another on February 1st. A fourth cut on February 3rd managed to seriously disrupt Internet service in Qatar. The fifth cut took place yesterday. In total, we have two breaks near the Suez Canal, two in the Persian Gulf, and one in Malaysia.
These undersea cables carry about 90% of the Internet’s traffic. The other 10% is carried over satellite.
This situation opens up a huge mystery and also points out a fairly serious vulnerability. With that much of the Internet traffic going over undersea cables, it is possible to drastically affect Internet traffic by cutting these cables.
The Mystery
Nobody knows what has caused these cuts in the cables. After the second cut, it was speculated that perhaps some ships were dragging anchor and that the anchor sliced the cable. However, reviews of shipping logs and video footage showed no ships were in the area of the cut.
The Internet is awash in conspiracy theories. Terrorism and sabotage theories abound. Is somebody cutting the cables from underwater? Is it a coincidence that all the cuts are in a hot area of the world, and all within days of each other? Was it an effort to derail Iran’s launch of their petroleum exchange?
Others say it is just coincidence. One story on ABC says that a company called Global Marine Systems says cable repairs are common. Cable breaks can happen as often as once every 3 days. Anchors as well as regular motion of the ocean currents can cause breaks. A story on Wired News says the conspiracy theories are overblown. But, that doesn’t stop some whack-jobs (the 9/11 "truth" seekers) to say that it is all a big U.S. government conspiracy to prepare for bombing the Super Bowl.
So, what do you think? Is this just the perfect storm of coincidence? Or is there some conspiracy afoot to disrupt Internet traffic in this region of the world?
And what does this say about geographic redundancy of the Internet infrastructure?

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